The Beautiful Truth Show - 31th March, 2010
Guest - Piers Corbyn - http://weatheraction.com
AUDIO HERE
JAN 2010 AUDIO HERE:
http://breakfornews.com/forum/viewtopic ... 1808#61808
PREVIOUS AUDIO HERE:
http://breakfornews.com/forum/viewtopic ... 9615#59615
See Also Our Earlier Related Thread:
Latest on Global Warming Bunk
http://breakfornews.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=106
The Next Level Show - 20th February, 2009PREVIOUS AUDIO
LISTEN:
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REFERENCES:
Sunspot Lapse Exceeds 95% of Normal
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/01/15/s ... of-normal/
Solar Cycle 24 amplitude prediction
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/02/12/u ... rediction/
Another Prominent Scientist Dissents from
Warming Fears at International Conference
http://antigreen.blogspot.com/2008/08/a ... sents.html
http://www.iceagenow.com/Another_Promin ... _Fears.htm
James Hansen’s Former NASA Supervisor Declares Himself a Skeptic
http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm? ... d53cd3d320
Our Previous Interview with Bob Carter:
http://breakfornews.com/forum/viewtopic ... 2375#12375
Prof Peter Barrett
http://www.victoria.ac.nz/antarctic/peo ... index.aspx
Nikolai Kondratiev
Nikolai Dmitriyevich Kondratiev (4 March 1892 - 17 September 1938)
was a Russian economist, who was a proponent of the New Economic
Policy (NEP) in the Soviet Union. He was executed at the height of
Stalin's Great Purge and "rehabilitated" fifty years later.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikolai_Kondratieff
The Kondratieff Theory
To introduce the Kondratieff Theory, we must go back over seventy years
and examine a remarkable story in economic history, encompassed
within the life of one still little known man. I am certain that, in time,
Kondratieff will rank with the giants of discovery as Einstein and Newton.
Like these men, his insights have begun to alter radically and
permanently our perceptions of economic history.
The Kondratieff wave cycle goes through four distinct phases of beneficial
inflation (spring), stagflation (summer), beneficial deflation (autumn), and
deflation (winter). Since, the last Kontratyev cycle ended around 1949,
we have seen beneficial inflation 1949-1966, stagflation 1966-1982,
beneficial deflation 1982-2000 and according to Kondratieff, we are now
in the (winter) deflation cycle which should lead to depression.
http://www.kwaves.com/kond_overview.htm
New Little Ice Age
Instead of Global Warming?
by Dr. Theodor Landscheidt �
Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity
Klammerfelsweg 5, 93449 Waldm�nchen, Germany
http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/
Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates
that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming
as high as 5.8� C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool
climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown
that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity,
coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked
to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun's
oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the
future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be
seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around
2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe
cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range
forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun's orbital
motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last
three El Ni�os years before the respective event.
http://www.schulphysik.de/klima/landscheidt/iceage.htm
Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña
http://www.schulphysik.de/klima/elnino/sun-enso.htm
The New "Little Ice Age"
http://www.itsonlysteam.com/articles/la ... part2.html
A. L. Tchijevsky’s Theory of Sunspot Activity and Human Activity
http://www.carolmoore.net/articles/sunspot-cycle.html
Global Warming as a Natural Response to Cloud Changes
Associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph.D.
October 20, 2008 (updated December 29, 2008)
A simple climate model forced by satellite-observed changes in the
Earth’s radiative budget associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation is
shown to mimic the major features of global average temperature change
during the 20th Century - including three-quarters of the warming trend.
A mostly-natural source of global warming is also consistent with
mounting observational evidence that the climate system is much less
sensitive to carbon dioxide emissions than the IPCC’s climate models
simulate.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/research-ar ... -response/
The Battle against...
Global Cooling!
BreakForNews.com, 18 Aug, 2005 by Fintan Dunne, Editor
The Earth's climate is your responsibility too, so buy a gas-guzzling SUV,
burn plenty of fossil fuels; and keep asking yourself are you doing
enough to keep global cooling at bay?
Because, the incessant hype over 'global warming' may turn out to be a
dreadful mistake, if some scientists' more long term assessments of
climate change proves right.......
http://www.breakfornews.com/articles/GlobalCooling.htm
PREVIOUS AUDIO
FROM SEPT 2008:
The Next Level Show - 10th September, 2008
Even as the Global Warming crew persist in their deeply dubious claims,
Sunspots have vanished from the face of the Sun --and the next sunspot
cycle is already about two years behind schedule. Independent scientists
say this very scenario has caused a mini-Ice Age before. We present the
latest forecasts and analysis of the likelyhood of Imminent Cooling.
LISTEN:
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then 'Save As' to Download and Listen.
REFERENCES:
Sun Makes History: First Spotless Month in a Century
Michael Asher (Blog) - September 1, 2008
The sun has reached a milestone not seen for nearly 100 years: an entire month has passed without a single visible sunspot being noted.
The event is significant as many climatologists now believe solar magnetic activity – which determines the number of sunspots -- is an influencing factor for climate on earth.
According to data from Mount Wilson Observatory, UCLA, more than an entire month has passed without a spot. The last time such an event occurred was June of 1913. Sunspot data has been collected since 1749.
When the sun is active, it's not uncommon to see sunspot numbers of 100 or more in a single month. Every 11 years, activity slows, and numbers briefly drop to near-zero. Normally sunspots return very quickly, as a new cycle begins.
But this year -- which corresponds to the start of Solar Cycle 24 -- has been extraordinarily long and quiet, with the first seven months averaging a sunspot number of only 3. August followed with none at all. The astonishing rapid drop of the past year has defied predictions, and caught nearly all astronomers by surprise.
In 2005, a pair of astronomers from the National Solar Observatory (NSO) in Tucson attempted to publish a paper in the journal Science. The pair looked at minute spectroscopic and magnetic changes in the sun. By extrapolating forward, they reached the startling result that, within 10 years, sunspots would vanish entirely. At the time, the sun was very active. Most of their peers laughed at what they considered an unsubstantiated conclusion.
The journal ultimately rejected the paper as being too controversial.
The paper's lead author, William Livingston, tells DailyTech that, while the refusal may have been justified at the time, recent data fits his theory well. He says he will be "secretly pleased" if his predictions come to pass.
But will the rest of us? In the past 1000 years, three previous such events -- the Dalton, Maunder, and Spörer Minimums, have all led to rapid cooling. One was large enough to be called a "mini ice age". For a society dependent on agriculture, cold is more damaging than heat. The growing season shortens, yields drop, and the occurrence of crop-destroying frosts increases.....
READ ON:
http://www.dailytech.com/Sun+Makes+Hist ... e12823.htm
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Experts Continue To Wait For Sunspots To Reappear
No little black spots on the sun today
Last Updated: September 08. 2008
For the first time in 95 years, a month has gone by without a black spot
forming on the sun’s surface, an event that could signal a change in
climate trends.
This year will be remembered for many milestones, such as the record
performances at the Beijing Olympics and a historic US presidential race.
Less noticed, but perhaps just as significant in the history of our solar
system, for the first time in 95 years, a month has gone by without a
single spot forming on the sun’s surface.
While this may appear to interest only scientists who rarely leave their
laboratories, the level of solar activity has an impact on climate conditions
that affect everyone on the planet. Indeed, the absence of sunspots has
caused commentators to revisit an unpublished paper from 2005 by a pair
of astronomers from the National Solar Observatory in Arizona.
Dr William Livingston and Matthew Penn predicted that, by 2015, sunspots
would vanish for ever, stoking fears that a mini ice age would be in store,
severely impacting life on parts of the globe.
If this is the case, it will not be the first time a lack of sunspots has been
linked to cooler temperatures. In the second half of the 17th and the early
18th century, few sunspots were recorded – there were 50 when one
thousand times that number would have been expected. The weather was
so cold the River Thames in London froze over for weeks and harvests
throughout Europe failed, all because of the unpredictable behaviour of a
star almost two hundred million kilometres away from Earth.
http://www.thenational.ae/article/20080 ... 067/-1/ART
Temperature Monitors Report Widescale Global Cooling
Michael Asher (Blog) - February 26, 2008
Twelve-month long drop in world temperatures
wipes out a century of warming
Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded.
China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all
recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with
places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record
levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida,
Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile
-- the list goes on and on.
No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has
been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature
tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated
data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped
precipitously.
A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of
cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe
out most of the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one
year's time. For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change
ever recorded, either up or down.
http://www.dailytech.com/Temperature+Mo ... e10866.htm
-- South America in 2007 experienced one of its coldest winters in decades. In Buenos Aires, snow fell for the first time since 1918.
-- Johannesburg, South Africa, had the first significant snowfall in 26 years.
-- Australia experienced the coldest June ever.
-- Charlotte, N.C., experienced 21 deg F on April 8, 2007, the coldest ever recorded for April, breaking a record set in 1923.
-- December, 2007, saw record low temperatures in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Oregon.
-- Dec. 4, Seoul, Korea, the temperature was a record minus 5 degrees Celsius.
-- The Canadian government warns that this winter is likely to be the coldest in 15 years.
Year of Global Cooling, Washington Times, December 19, 2007
http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbc ... Y/10575140
David Archibald:
Global Warming & Sunspots explained
<iframe id="ytplayer" type="text/html" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/DbAe_g41Zl4" frameborder="0"></iframe>
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbAe_g41Zl4
Longer Version:
Part 1 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDX2ExKYyqw&feature=user
Part 2 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iP4mYcrd ... re=related
Part 3 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oAUdDLTL ... re=related
Part 4 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDiJyr0T ... re=related
New Little Ice Age
Instead of Global Warming?
by Dr. Theodor Landscheidt
Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity
Klammerfelsweg 5, 93449 Waldmuenchen, Germany
Abstract:
Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates
that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming
as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool
climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.
It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun's oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun's orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
READ ON:
http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htm
Livingston and Penn paper:
“Sunspots may vanish by 2015″.
http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/20 ... h-by-2015/
The sun's conveyor belt is a current, not of water, but of electrically-conducting gas. It flows in a loop from the sun's equator to the poles and back again. Just as the Great Ocean Conveyor Belt controls weather on Earth, this solar conveyor belt controls weather on the sun. Specifically, it controls the sunspot cycle.
Solar physicist David Hathaway of the National Space Science & Technology Center (NSSTC) explains: "First, remember what sunspots are--tangled knots of magnetism generated by the sun's inner dynamo. A typical sunspot exists for just a few weeks. Then it decays, leaving behind a 'corpse' of weak magnetic fields."
Enter the conveyor belt.
"The top of the conveyor belt skims the surface of the sun, sweeping up the magnetic fields of old, dead sunspots. The 'corpses' are dragged down at the poles to a depth of 200,000 km where the sun's magnetic dynamo can amplify them. Once the corpses (magnetic knots) are reincarnated (amplified), they become buoyant and float back to the surface." Presto—new sunspots!
All this happens with massive slowness. "It takes about 40 years for the belt to complete one loop," says Hathaway. The speed varies "anywhere from a 50-year pace (slow) to a 30-year pace (fast)."
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006 ... arning.htm
Sunspots thought to be factor in temperature
The current solar cycle peaked in November 2001, and the number of
spots fell to a minimum during 2006. Back then solar experts predicted
that the new cycle would begin by the fall of 2006.
But the new cycle didn't begin when expected; so the experts from NOAA
and NASA held another meeting and predicted it would begin in March
2008. It didn't, and the solar experts at the Australian Space Weather
Agency recently predicted the onset of the next cycle will be delayed until
April 2009.
Meanwhile, the sun has had more than 400 spotless days during its
current minimum. Most agencies reported no sunspots during all of
August.......
http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/enviro ... 75949.html
Predictions for Solar Cycle 24
http://users.telenet.be/j.janssens/SC24.html
"The Coming Global Cooling"
http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index ... al-cooling
"There IS a problem with global warming... it stopped in 1998."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk
"Earth in for another 'ice age' in mid-century."
http://en.rian.ru/russia/20060206/43371626.html
Canada's National Post, 20 June 2007
"The mud at the bottom of B.C. fjords reveals that solar output drives climate change - and that we should prepare now for dangerous global cooling."
"Solar scientists predict that, by 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe solar cycle of the past two centuries, likely leading to unusually cool conditions on Earth. Beginning to plan for adaptation to such a cool period, one which may continue well beyond one 11-year cycle, as did the Little Ice Age, should be a priority for governments. It is global cooling, not warming, that is the major climate threat to the world, especially Canada..."
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/fina ... db11f4&p=4